Guadalajara vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
0
:
0
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
A. Pena (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Pena (Necaxa) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: A. E. Almendra replaces T. Badaloni
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces R. Marin
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces K. Gutierrez
  6. 78'
    Yellow Card
    L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  7. 77'
    Yellow Card
    R. Martinez (Necaxa) cautioned
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces C. Calderon
  9. 73'
    Yellow Card
    F. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  10. 73'
    Yellow Card
    C. Calderon (Necaxa) cautioned
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces E. Alvarez
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces A. Gonzalez
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Alvarado replaces R. Ledezma
  14. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces B. Gutierrez
  15. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces R. Monreal
  16. 40'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

Guadalajara vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -175, Necaxa +475, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 49.6%
  • Necaxa: 26.9%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Necaxa (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.6%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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