Queretaro vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Puebla Liga MX match on April 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
2
1
Apr 24, 11:00 PM ET
Puebla
Apr 24, 11:00 PM ET
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
B. Garnica (10')
Soccer ball icon
B. Garnica (16')
Red Card icon
A. Avila (55')
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D. Parra (79')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces F. Monarrez
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces S. Homenchenko
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by D. Parra, assisted by A. Avila
2-1
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces A. Organista
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Robles replaces B. Duarte
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces A. Gamarra
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Gomez replaces J. Unjanque
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Rey replaces E. Lozano
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila, assisted by E. Perez
1-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: E. Perez replaces J. Cazares
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Garcia
16'
Red Card
B. Garnica (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
16'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by B. Garnica
0-1

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Queretaro vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +175, Puebla +170, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-109)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 31.7%
  • Puebla: 42.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 1-1 Puebla (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Queretaro vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.7%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Queretaro vs. Puebla, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.