Queretaro vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Puebla Liga MX match on April 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
2
1
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
B. Garnica (10')
Soccer ball icon
B. Garnica (16')
Red Card icon
A. Avila (55')
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D. Parra (79')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Mustre replaces F. Monarrez
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces S. Homenchenko
  3. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by D. Parra, assisted by A. Avila
    2-1
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces A. Organista
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Robles replaces B. Duarte
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces A. Gamarra
  7. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Gomez replaces J. Unjanque
  8. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: L. Rey replaces E. Lozano
  9. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila, assisted by E. Perez
    1-1
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: E. Perez replaces J. Cazares
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: L. Rodriguez replaces C. Garcia
  12. 16'
    Red Card
    B. Garnica (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
  13. 16'
    Yellow Card
    N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
  14. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by B. Garnica
    0-1

Queretaro vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +175, Puebla +170, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-109)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 31.7%
  • Puebla: 42.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 1-1 Puebla (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Queretaro vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.7%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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