...
...
Read Article
Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Liberty vs. Fire WNBA play [5/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Thursday, May 14, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for May 14, 2026 are here, with Liberty vs. Fire and Lynx vs. Wings in the WNBA among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest odds to unearth legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [5/14, updated 5:32AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, May 14, 2026.
WNBA: Liberty vs. Fire under 177.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 16.2%
- Probability: 68.6%
- WNBA matchup: Liberty vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has identified value on under 177.5 points in Liberty vs. Fire at -110 odds. A 68.6% probability produces an edge of 16.2%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
WNBA: Lynx vs. Wings under 178.5 points (+100)
- Edge: 9.7%
- Probability: 59.7%
- WNBA matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Lynx vs. Wings under 178.5 points carries a 9.7% edge and a probability of 59.7% at +100 odds, according to our model.
WNBA: Wings ML (-141)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 66.6%
- WNBA Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Wings ML at -141 odds shows a 8.1% edge, supported by a 66.6% probability in simulations.
MLB: Rockies vs. Pirates over 7.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 59.3%
- MLB Matchup: Rockies vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Thursday)
A 6.8% edge and 59.3% probability make Rockies vs. Pirates over 7.5 runs at a value play in the Rockies vs. Pirates matchup, per our model.
WNBA: Wings -2.5 (-108)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 57.6%
- WNBA Matchup: Lynx vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Wings -2.5 at -108 odds presents a 5.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.
Liga MX: Pumas UNAM ML (+285)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 31.4%
- Liga MX Matchup: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca (9:00PM ET, Thursday)
Our model finds value on Pumas UNAM to win at +285 odds, supported by an edge of 5.4%.
MLB: Padres vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 58.1%
- MLB Matchup: Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Brewers over 7.5 runs at -113 odds. A 58.1% probability produces a 5.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
MLB: Phillies vs. Red Sox over 7.5 runs (+106)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 53.1%
- MLB Matchup: Phillies vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Thursday)
A 4.6% edge on a 53.1% probability makes over 7.5 runs at +106 odds a solid value play in today's Phillies vs. Red Sox matchup.
Tennis: Elina Svitolina +5.5 (-134)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 61.6%
- Tennis Matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Elina Svitolina (2:30PM ET, Thursday)
Our model projects value on Elina Svitolina +5.5 at -134 odds. A 61.6% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making Elina Svitolina the favorable side in Saturday’s WTA Italian Open tennis matchup.
MLB: Tigers vs. Mets over 7.5 runs (+111)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 51.5%
- MLB Matchup: Tigers vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Tigers vs. Mets over 7.5 runs at +111 odds shows a 51.5% probability and a 4.0% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 5/14/2026
As of 5:32AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty vs. Fire (WNBA) | Under 177.5 Points | -110 @ bet_rivers_in | 16.2% | 68.6% |
| Lynx vs. Wings (WNBA) | Under 178.5 Points | +100 @ novig | 9.7% | 59.7% |
| Lynx vs. Wings (WNBA) | Wings ML | -141 @ polymarket | 8.1% | 66.6% |
| Rockies vs. Pirates (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | -111 @ polymarket | 6.8% | 59.3% |
| Lynx vs. Wings (WNBA) | Wings -2.5 | -108 @ polymarket | 5.6% | 57.6% |
| Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca (Liga MX) | Pumas UNAM ML | +285 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 31.4% |
| Padres vs. Brewers (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | -113 @ polymarket | 5.1% | 58.1% |
| Phillies vs. Red Sox (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | +106 @ polymarket | 4.6% | 53.1% |
| Swiatek vs. Svitolina (Tennis) | Elina Svitolina +5.5 Games | -134 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 61.6% |
| Tigers vs. Mets (MLB) | Over 7.5 Runs | +111 @ polymarket | 4.0% | 51.5% |
List of upcoming events to bet on now [5/14/2026]
- Tennis: Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner (7:00AM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Coco Gauff vs. Sorana Cirstea (9:00AM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Rockies vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Nationals vs. Reds (12:40PM ET, Thursday)
- La Liga: Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia (1:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Tennis: Daniil Medvedev vs. Martin Landaluce (1:00PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Tigers vs. Mets (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Padres vs. Brewers (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
- MLB: Marlins vs. Twins (1:40PM ET, Thursday)
- La Liga: Real Sociedad vs. Girona (2:00PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for May 14, 2026, featuring plays such as under 177.5 points in the Liberty vs. Fire matchup and under 178.5 points in the Lynx vs. Wings matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure