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Phillies vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Pirates MLB game on May 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Phillies
Aaron Nola 2-3, 5.14 ERA
11
9
May 15, 6:40 PM ET PNC Park
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 2-2, 2.77 ERA
May 15, 6:40 PM ET PNC Park
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 2 |
Pirates | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Phillies
- Pirates
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Endy Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .167 | 0.334 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .600 | 2.467 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .800 | 1.600 |
| 4 | A. Bohm | 3B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 5 | B. Marsh | LF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.600 |
| 6 | B. Stott | 2B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.450 |
| 7 | R. Marchán | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 8 | J. Crawford | CF | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 9 | A. García | RF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Cruz | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 2 | B. Lowe | 2B | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .400 | 2.000 |
| 3 | B. Reynolds | RF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 0.800 |
| 4 | R. O'Hearn | 1B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 5 | M. Ozuna | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.400 |
| 6 | N. Gonzales | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | K. Griffin | SS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 8 | E. Rodríguez | C | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 9 | J. Triolo | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
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Phillies vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Pirates
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET
- Venue: PNC Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies +125, Pirates -125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 47%
- Pirates: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 47%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at PNC Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.