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Best bets today for all sports: Thursday's picks include Grizzlies vs. Jazz NBA play [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Thursday, April 9, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for April 09, 2026 are here, with Grizzlies vs. Jazz in the NBA and Sea Eagles vs. Dragons in the NRL among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [4/9, updated 10:33PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, April 9, 2026.
NBA: Grizzlies vs. Jazz under 246.5 points (-106)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 58.2%
- NBA matchup: Grizzlies vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Friday)
Our model has identified value on under 246.5 points in Grizzlies vs. Jazz at -106 odds. A 58.2% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
NRL: Sea Eagles -6.5 (-115)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 59.4%
- NBA matchup: Sea Eagles vs. Dragons (4:00AM ET, Friday)
Sea Eagles -6.5 carries a 5.9% edge and a probability of 59.4% at -115 odds, according to our model.
NBA: Mavericks +16.5 (-110)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 58.2%
- NBA Matchup: Mavericks vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET, Friday)
Mavericks +16.5 vs. Spurs at -110 odds shows a 5.8% edge, supported by a 58.2% probability in simulations.
NRL: Broncos -1.5 (-120)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 60.1%
- NRL Matchup: Cowboys vs. Broncos (6:00AM ET, Friday)
A 5.4% edge and 60.1% probability make Broncos -1.5 vs. Cowboys at a value play in the Cowboys vs. Broncos matchup, per our model.
MLB: Pirates vs. Cubs over 6.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 59.3%
- MLB Matchup: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
Pirates vs. Cubs over 6.5 runs at -120 odds presents a 4.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.3%.
Tennis: Anastasia Potapova ML (+118)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 49.9%
- Tennis Matchup: Anastasia Potapova vs. Lilli Tagger (9:20AM ET, Friday)
Our model finds value on Anastasia Potapova to win at +118 odds at ATP Brisbane, supported by an edge of 4.0%.
Liga MX: Club Leon ML (+190)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 38.1%
- Liga MX Matchup: Club Leon vs. Puebla (9:00PM ET, Friday)
Our model has uncovered value on Club Leon ML at +190 odds. A 38.1% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's Liga MX action.
Tennis: Valentin Vacherot ML (+188)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 38.3%
- Tennis Matchup: Valentin Vacherot vs. Alex de Minaur (8:30AM ET, Friday)
A 3.5% edge on a 38.3% probability makes Valentin Vacherot to win at +188 odds a solid value play in this ATP Monte-Carlo Masters matchup.
MLB: Rockies vs. Padres over 8 runs (-115)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 57%
- MLB Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Friday)
Our model projects value on over 8 runs at -115 odds. A 57% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s MLB matchup.
NBA: Hornets ML (-135)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 60.8%
- NBA Matchup: Pistons vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Hornets to defeat Pistons at -135 odds shows a 60.8% probability and a 3.4% edge.
Best sports bets today summary: Thursday, 4/9/2026
As of 10:33PM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz (NBA) | Under 246.5 Points | -106 @ FanDuel | 6.8% | 58.2% |
| Sea Eagles vs. Dragons (NRL) | Sea Eagles -6.5 | -115 @ DraftKings | 5.9% | 59.4% |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs (NBA) | Mavericks +16.5 | -110 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 58.2% |
| Cowboys vs. Broncos (NRL) | Broncos -1.5 | -120 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 60.1% |
| Pirates vs. Cubs (MLB) | Over 6.5 Runs | -120 @ BetMGM | 4.8% | 59.3% |
| Potapova vs. Tagger (Tennis) | Anastasia Potapova ML | +118 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 49.9% |
| Club Leon vs. Puebla (Liga MX) | Club Leon ML | +190 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 38.1% |
| Vacherot vs. Minaur (Tennis) | Valentin Vacherot ML | +188 @ FanDuel | 3.5% | 38.3% |
| Rockies vs. Padres (MLB) | Over 8 Runs | -115 @ BetMGM | 3.5% | 57% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets (NBA) | Hornets ML | -135 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 60.8% |
List of upcoming events to bet on now [4/9/2026]
- NRL: Sea Eagles vs. Dragons (4:00AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Alexander Zverev vs. Joao Fonseca (5:00AM ET, Friday)
- AFL: Dockers vs. Magpies (5:40AM ET, Friday)
- NRL: Cowboys vs. Broncos (6:00AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Jannik Sinner vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime (6:10AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs. Jelena Ostapenko (7:00AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz (7:20AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Sorana Cirstea vs. Mirra Andreeva (8:10AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Alex de Minaur vs. Valentin Vacherot (8:30AM ET, Friday)
- Tennis: Lilli Tagger vs. Anastasia Potapova (9:20AM ET, Friday)
Meet Dimebot, Dimers’ AI assistant
See how you can use Dimebot to ask questions, clarify data, and streamline your betting research.
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for April 9, 2026, featuring plays such as under 246.5 points in the Grizzlies vs. Jazz matchup and Sea Eagles -6.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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