Club Leon vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Leon vs. Puebla Liga MX match on April 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Club Leon
1
0
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
Club LeonLEO
J. R. Pachuca Martinez (84')
Red Card icon
I. Diaz (72')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Leon
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: R. Funes Mori replaces D. Cambindo
  2. 84'
    Red Card
    J. R. Pachuca Martinez (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
  3. 81'
    Yellow Card
    J. R. Pachuca Martinez (Puebla) cautioned
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces I. Moreno
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Araos replaces A. Organista
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: B. Colula replaces I. Moreno
  7. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by I. Diaz
    1-0
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces K. Velasco
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: L. Rey replaces A. Ramirez
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces E. Gomez
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: D. Arcila replaces F. Beltran Cruz
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: E. Rodriguez replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: P. Bellon replaces S. Barreiro
  14. 27'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ramirez (Puebla) cautioned
  15. 21'
    Yellow Card
    S. Barreiro (Club Leon) cautioned

Club Leon vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Leon vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Leon +165, Puebla +170, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-133/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Leon: 38.1%
  • Puebla: 37.0%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Leon 1-1 Puebla (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Club Leon vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.1%.

The most likely correct score is Club Leon 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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