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Baylor vs. Arizona State prediction: Why Baylor is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Baylor vs Arizona State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Arizona State will face the favored Baylor in men's college basketball action at T-Mobile Center on Tuesday, beginning at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Baylor as the most likely winner of the Baylor vs. Arizona State game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Baylor vs. Arizona State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Baylor and Arizona State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Baylor a 62% chance of defeating Arizona State. Our predicted final score has Baylor winning 79-75.
According to our model, Arizona State (+5.5) has a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 152.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
Baylor vs. Arizona State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baylor | Arizona State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -235 | +205 |
| Total | o152.5 (-110) | u152.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baylor vs. Arizona State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona State +5.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Arizona State | +205 |
| Total | Over 152.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arizona State +5.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Baylor vs. Arizona State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Arizona State and Baylor at T-Mobile Center is scheduled to commence at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Baylor vs. Arizona State
- Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Center
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Conclusion
We predict Baylor, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Arizona State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baylor vs. Arizona State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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