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Ravens vs. Browns prediction: Why Baltimore is favored to win in NFL Week 11, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns predictions for NFL Sunday.
NFL Week 11 action continues on Sunday at 4:25PM ET as the favored Baltimore Ravens lock horns with the Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Ravens as the most likely winner of the Ravens vs. Browns game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Ravens vs. Browns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Ravens-Browns predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Ravens and Browns 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Ravens a 78% chance of beating the Browns in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Ravens winning 22-15.
According to our model, the Browns (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 38 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 11 straight up picks.
Ravens vs. Browns odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ravens | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -440 | +360 |
| Total | o38 (-125) | u38 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ravens vs. Browns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Browns | +360 |
| Total | Under 38 | -105 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Browns +7.5 at the spread.
Ravens vs. Browns TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Ravens vs. Browns?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 11, Derrick Henry is most likely to score an anytime TD in Ravens vs. Browns.
Our projections give Henry a 54.6% chance of scoring a TD at Huntington Bank Field, while the running back is a 14.9% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 54.6% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 32.9% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 31.9% |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | 22.6% |
| DeAndre Hopkins (WR) | 21.2% |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 44.9% |
| David Njoku (TE) | 17.9% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 17.8% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 16.6% |
| Cedric Tillman (WR) | 16.4% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Baltimore Ravens
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (RB) | 14.9% |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | 7.6% |
| Zay Flowers (WR) | 7.3% |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | 4.9% |
| DeAndre Hopkins (WR) | 4.5% |
Cleveland Browns
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins (RB) | 11.9% |
| David Njoku (TE) | 3.9% |
| Harold Fannin (TE) | 3.9% |
| Jerry Jeudy (WR) | 3.6% |
| Cedric Tillman (WR) | 3.6% |
Ravens vs Browns player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Ravens and Browns. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 11 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Ravens' Lamar Jackson is projected for 207 passing yards. The Browns' Dillon Gabriel is expected to throw for just 176 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 207 |
| Dillon Gabriel (CLE) | 176 |
Ravens rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 81 |
| Lamar Jackson | 42 |
| Keaton Mitchell | 21 |
Browns rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | 70 |
| Dillon Gabriel | 14 |
| Jerome Ford | 13 |
Ravens receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Zay Flowers | 63 |
| Mark Andrews | 35 |
| Isaiah Likely | 28 |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 23 |
| Tylan Wallace | 14 |
Browns receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jerry Jeudy | 44 |
| Harold Fannin | 36 |
| David Njoku | 26 |
| Cedric Tillman | 25 |
| Isaiah Bond | 13 |
Ravens vs. Browns game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 11 action between the Browns and Ravens at Huntington Bank Field is scheduled to start at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
- Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
- Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: Huntington Bank Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Ravens, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Browns in Week 11 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ravens vs. Browns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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