Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: Orioles Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Saturday's MLB Game [6/22/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: Orioles Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Saturday's MLB Game [6/22/2024]

The Houston Astros and Baltimore Orioles will lock horns in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Saturday, starting at 4:10PM ET.

Ronel Blanco (7-2, 2.43 ERA) will start on the mound for the Astros, up against Corbin Burnes (8-2, 2.14 ERA) for the Orioles.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' predictive MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Baltimore Orioles as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team has employed the latest data to conduct 10,000 simulations of Saturday’s Orioles-Astros game," said Nick Slade from Dimers.

"By incorporating the latest updates and various other inputs, we estimate the likelihood of the Orioleswinning at 55%, compared to 45% forthe Astros."

Orioles vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's MLB game between the Astros and Orioles at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to start at 4:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Orioles vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Orioles picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Access 36 bets, including a 13% edge
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Orioles vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using advanced machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Astros 10,000 times, as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Orioles a 55% chance of defeating the Astros.

According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 53% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 8:30PM, Jun 22
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Orioles
Win %
54%
46%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Orioles BAL
Win %
54%
46%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Corbin Burnes 8-2, 2.14 ERA
Ronel Blanco 7-2, 2.43 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Orioles vs. Astros Odds [6/22/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Orioles Astros
Run Line -1.5 (+120) +1.5 (-130)
Moneyline -142 +130
Total o7.5 (-115) u7.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Orioles vs. Astros Picks

Our model's biggest edge in this Orioles vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets in each major market every day of the season.

Full access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 16 MLB bets, including a 13% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Orioles, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orioles vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the latest probabilities and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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