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Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: Astros Projected to Win Tight Contest According to Model for Sunday's MLB Game [6/23/2024]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: Astros Projected to Win Tight Contest According to Model for Sunday's MLB Game [6/23/2024]

The Houston Astros and Baltimore Orioles will lock horns in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Sunday, starting at 2:10PM ET.

Framber Valdez (5-5, 3.91 ERA) will start on the mound for the Astros, while the Orioles are going with Albert Suárez (3-1, 2.05 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' predictive MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Houston Astros as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Orioles-Astros game," said Nick Slade from Dimers.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Astros have a 54% win probability, while the Orioles have a 46% probability."

Orioles vs. Astros Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Astros and Orioles at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to commence at 2:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Sunday's Orioles vs. Astros matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Astros vs. Orioles picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Access 97 bets, including a 13% edge
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Orioles vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Orioles and Astros 10,000 times, as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our proven predictive model currently gives the Astros a 54% chance of defeating the Orioles.

According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 6:34PM, Jun 23
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Orioles
Win %
36%
64%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Astros
Orioles BAL
Win %
36%
64%
See Matchup
Astros HOU
Albert Suárez 3-1, 2.05 ERA
Framber Valdez 5-5, 3.91 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Orioles vs. Astros Odds [6/23/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Orioles Astros
Run Line -1.5 (+155) +1.5 (-184)
Moneyline -105 -108
Total o8.5 (+102) u8.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Orioles vs. Astros Picks

Our model's biggest edge in this Orioles vs. Astros matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets in each major market every day of the season.

Unlimited access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 14 MLB bets, including a 12% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orioles vs. Astros insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the most recent MLB news and our data-led MLB picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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