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Ball State vs. Northern Illinois prediction: Ball State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Ball State vs Northern Illinois predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET as Ball State takes on Northern Illinois in men's college basketball action at NIU Convocation Center.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Ball State a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Northern Illinois.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Ball State vs. Northern Illinois matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Ball State vs. Northern Illinois prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Ball State and Northern Illinois 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Ball State a 52% chance of defeating Northern Illinois. Our predicted final score has Ball State winning 69-68.
According to our model, Ball State (+1.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 133.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
Ball State vs. Northern Illinois odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ball State | Northern Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -120 |
| Total | o133.5 (-110) | u133.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ball State vs. Northern Illinois picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ball State +1.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Ball State | +100 |
| Total | Over 133.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 133.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Ball State vs. Northern Illinois game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Northern Illinois and Ball State at NIU Convocation Center is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Ball State vs. Northern Illinois
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: NIU Convocation Center
Conclusion
We predict Ball State, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Northern Illinois on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ball State vs. Northern Illinois insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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