Australian Open Parlay for Day 5: Combining our best tennis bets today at +623 odds

Our Australian Open 2026 parlay combines the top selections from our tennis best bets section. With another massive slate of matches on Day 5, this type of volume creates excellent parlay opportunities for tennis bettors

While the public scrambles just to find an edge at Melbourne Park, us sharps have isolated four specific tennis bets where the numbers point to significant value.

For our best parlay on Day 5, we are targeting three games spread plays—two from the Men's draw and one from the Ladies' draw. By combining these edges, we have constructed a tennis parlay that turns high-confidence data into a +623 play, and our spirits are sky high after nailing both our Day 2 parlay at +880 odds and also our Day 3 parlay at +570 odds.

Here is the breakdown of the best bets we've used to craft a parlay today, with picks in order of highest probability.

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Tennis parlay - Australian Open 2026

Leg 1: Novak Djokovic -9.5 Games (+115)

Matchup: F. Maestrelli vs. N. Djokovic

Time: Jan 21, 9:30pm (ET)

We kick off our Day 5 tennis parlay with a bold but mathematically backed play on Novak Djokovic. The spread has stretched to -9.5 games, a number that scares off most casual bettors. However, at +115 odds, the value here is staggering.

Our model assigns a 66.3% probability to Djokovic covering this massive line, revealing a monumental 19.8% edge—among the highest we have seen all week.

The Reasoning: Finding a nearly 20% edge on a favorite of Djokovic's caliber is unheard of. The data suggests the market is vastly underestimating the likelihood of a complete blowout (e.g., 6-2, 6-1, 6-3). By taking the aggressive line at plus money, we are locking in the single strongest of our tennis bets for the entire slate.

RELATED: FanDuel user hits perfect 4-leg Day 2 tennis parlay using Dimers Pro

Leg 2: Julia Grabher +6.5 Games (-122)

Matchup: A. Kalinskaya vs. J. Grabher

Time: Jan 21, 9:00pm (ET)

For the second leg of our best parlay, we target the women’s draw where the market has undervalued Julia Grabher against Anna Kalinskaya. While Kalinskaya is the favorite, asking her to cover a 6.5-game margin is a tall order against a gritty competitor like Grabher.

We calculate a 65.6% probability of Grabher keeping this match competitive enough to cover, creating a robust 10.7% edge.

The Reasoning: In a Grand Slam environment, covering 6.5 games often requires a dominant, error-free performance that is hard to sustain. We are betting on variance and Grabher's fight. This is a classic "too many points" spot, making it a critical stabilizer for your parlay today.

Leg 3: Hubert Hurkacz -4.5 Games (-115)

Matchup: H. Hurkacz vs. E. Quinn

Time: Jan 21, 8:10pm (ET)

We close out our parlay ticket with one of the tour's biggest servers, Hubert Hurkacz. Facing Ethan Quinn, Hurkacz only needs to cover a modest 4.5 games. For a player who can go entire sets without facing a break point, this spread feels surprisingly low.

Our simulation sees Hurkacz covering 65.1% of the time, offering a significant 11.6% edge.

The Reasoning: Hurkacz typically dominates on his own serve, meaning one break per set is often enough to clear a 4.5-game hurdle comfortably. The data points to a routine win for the Polish star, providing a high-confidence anchor to complete this tennis parlay.

Australian Open 2026 Parlay Today - Day 5

Leg 1: Djokovic -9.5 (+115)

Leg 2: Grabher +6.5 (-122)

Leg 3: Hurkacz -4.5 (-115)

Parlay odds: +623