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Hawks vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [11/16/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Sunday.

Atlanta Hawks-Phoenix Suns Predictions and Game Preview.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns NBA prediction for Sunday, November 16, 2025.

The Phoenix Suns and Atlanta Hawks will meet in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Suns game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Mark Williams, while the Hawks will be led by Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu and Nickeil Alexander-Walker.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Hawks vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Hawks and Suns.

According to our model, the Suns (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 226.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

Hawks vs. Suns odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Hawks Suns
Spread +1.5 (-110) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +105 -120
Total o226.5 (-105) u226.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hawks vs. Suns picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Suns -1.5 -110
Moneyline Suns -120
Total Over 226.5 -105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.

 

Hawks vs. Suns player props

NBA player props are a common way to wager on Sunday's Atlanta vs. Phoenix matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 21 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists for the Suns.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Hawks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Jalen Johnson 21 9 7 1 48
Onyeka Okongwu 17 10 3 1 40
N. Alexander-Walker 15 3 3 2 29
Z. Risacher 15 3 1 2 26
Dyson Daniels 13 6 6 1 37

Suns prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Devin Booker 27 4 8 2 48
Dillon Brooks 16 3 2 2 27
Mark Williams 13 9 2 0 32
C. Gillespie 12 5 5 3 31
Royce O'Neale 11 5 3 3 26

Hawks vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Suns and Hawks at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

  • Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Phoenix Suns
  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
  • Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Suns, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Sunday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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