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Hawks vs. Heat prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [2/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Miami Heat will take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at Kaseya Center on Tuesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Heat as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Heat game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Heat lineup will feature players like Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez and Andrew Wiggins, while the Hawks will rely on Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Heat prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Hawks and Heat 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Heat a 56% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 118-117.
According to our model, the Heat (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 237.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Heat odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -112 |
| Total | o237.5 (-105) | u237.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Heat picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Heat -1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Heat | -112 |
| Total | Under 237.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Heat to win.
Hawks vs. Heat player props
Betting on Hawks vs. Heat NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Kaseya Center.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 24 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, while Bam Adebayo is projected to have 20 points, 11 rebounds and 3 assists for the Heat.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 55 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| CJ McCollum | 17 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Corey Kispert | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 36 |
Heat prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Heat:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo | 20 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 44 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 41 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Pelle Larsson | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
| S. Fontecchio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Hawks vs. Heat game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Heat and Hawks at Kaseya Center is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat
- Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Tuesday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Heat insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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