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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hawks vs. Heat NBA game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
127
115
Feb 4, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Feb 4, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 33 | 31 | 43 | 15 | 127 |
Heat | 23 | 22 | 46 | 14 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
99%
1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 33 | 31 | 43 | 15 | 127 |
Heat | 23 | 22 | 46 | 14 | 115 |
Q4 00:19 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Jahmir Young makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Jalen Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:51 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
122-105
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
122-105
+2
Jahmir Young makes two point jump shot
122-105
Hawks personal foul
+1
Jahmir Young makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-105
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Asa Newell, Keaton Wallace, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jahmir Young, Keshad Johnson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Myron Gardner)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
122-105
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
Jump ball. Kel'el Ware vs. Mouhamed Gueye (Jaime Jaquez Jr. gains possession)
CJ McCollum turnover (lost ball)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
122-105
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
Hawks turnover
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jalen Johnson assists)
122-105
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Corey Kispert)
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point driving floating jump shot
107-91
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
122-105
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
+3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes three point jump shot
107-91
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Corey Kispert makes two point jump shot
107-91
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
107-91
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Hawks personal foul
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
107-91
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)
107-91
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Jalen Johnson personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
122-105
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
107-91
Hawks 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-91
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Corey Kispert)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-105
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Mouhamed Gueye draws the foul)
Mouhamed Gueye misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Mouhamed Gueye makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-105
Hawks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-105
+3
CJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
107-91
Davion Mitchell personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)
Instant replay
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
98-81
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 3
107-91
Hawks personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 3 of 3
122-105
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Zaccharie Risacher)
Heat offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses heave shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
122-105
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
122-105
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Dru Smith misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot (Mouhamed Gueye assists)
107-91
Heat turnover
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses two point running layup
Mouhamed Gueye defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
CJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)
107-91
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Corey Kispert makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
122-105
Heat personal foul
Jalen Johnson shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-81
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-91
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Jalen Johnson turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-91
+3
Luke Kennard makes three point jump shot
107-91
Heat turnover
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
107-91
Heat turnover
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye offensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses two point floating jump shot
Mouhamed Gueye personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-91
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-105
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+2
CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
107-91
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
122-105
Mouhamed Gueye personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-105
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-105
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Simone Fontecchio makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
102-86
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Corey Kispert draws the foul)
+2
Corey Kispert makes two point jump shot
122-105
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
+1
Corey Kispert makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-105
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses two point tip layup
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Myron Gardner misses two point running layup
Asa Newell turnover (lost ball) (Myron Gardner steals)
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point turnaround jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
69-55
+3
Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot
69-55
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Asa Newell shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-55
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-91
Dyson Daniels turnover (bad pass) (Myron Gardner steals)
+2
Myron Gardner makes two point driving layup
69-55
+3
Jalen Johnson makes three point jump shot (Zaccharie Risacher assists)
69-55
Bam Adebayo turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
Asa Newell personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-55
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-105
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
69-55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-55
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-55
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-105
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
+2
Zaccharie Risacher makes two point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
98-81
Pelle Larsson personal foul
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-55
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses two point running layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
69-55
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Christian Koloko misses two point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
Hawks lineup change (Christian Koloko, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Heat turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-45
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
64-45
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
64-45
Luke Kennard personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-45
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Asa Newell, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-45
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
64-45
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
64-45
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
64-45
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
CJ McCollum misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
56-45
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-45
Hawks turnover
Hawks lineup change (Christian Koloko, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Christian Koloko personal foul
Christian Koloko turnover
Hawks lineup change (Christian Koloko, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Luke Kennard draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Christian Koloko, Luke Kennard, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
56-40
Nickeil Alexander-Walker shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
Hawks violation
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 1
64-45
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Luke Kennard misses three point jump shot
Hawks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
+3
Corey Kispert makes three point jump shot
56-38
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Christian Koloko, Luke Kennard, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Corey Kispert)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-38
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-35
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
56-40
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
+2
Simone Fontecchio makes two point jump shot
50-32
Simone Fontecchio misses two point jump shot
+2
Asa Newell makes two point jump shot
50-30
Hawks personal foul
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Kasparas Jakucionis)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
48-30
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Luke Kennard, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Corey Kispert)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Nikola Jovic, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
45-30
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard, Asa Newell, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
43-30
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Zaccharie Risacher misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
Zaccharie Risacher misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-30
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
41-28
Asa Newell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Hawks personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-27
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-28
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
38-26
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
36-26
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
36-23
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Luke Kennard, Asa Newell, CJ McCollum, Zaccharie Risacher)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
45-30
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-23
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
33-21
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
31-21
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Asa Newell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-21
+1
Asa Newell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-21
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
27-19
CJ McCollum offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Hawks lineup change (Asa Newell, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Kasparas Jakucionis gains possession)
Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Zaccharie Risacher, Corey Kispert)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
24-19
Corey Kispert offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
21-19
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-19
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-17
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-15
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
19-13
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
17-13
Hawks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Corey Kispert)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat personal foul
Stoppage (Other)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
15-13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-13
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
13-11
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Jump ball. (Pelle Larsson gains possession)
Zaccharie Risacher turnover (lost ball)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher turnover (lost ball)
Hawks personal foul
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Stoppage (Other)
+1
Christian Koloko makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-11
+1
Christian Koloko makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-11
Heat turnover
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-10
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-11
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
9-9
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
6-9
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
3-9
Heat personal foul
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-7
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-7
Hawks 60 second timeout
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-5
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
2-3
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
0-3
Hawks personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 24 | C. Kispert | 13 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 2 | K. Wallace | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 10 | Z. Risacher | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| F | 14 | A. Newell | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 18 | M. Gueye | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| G | 25 | K. Jakucionis | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| G | 17 | J. Young | 3 | 0 | 0 |
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Hawks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hawks vs. Heat
- Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5
- Moneyline Odds: Hawks +100, Heat -110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hawks: 42%
- Heat: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hawks 116-118 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 42%, while the Heat have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hawks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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