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Hawks vs. Pacers prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [1/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks will meet in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard and Bennedict Mathurin, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Hawks and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 56% chance of beating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 116-115.
According to our model, the Pacers (+1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 235.5 points has a 56% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Pacers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-108) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -122 | +106 |
| Total | o235.5 (-105) | u235.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +1.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +106 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Under 235.5 total points.
Hawks vs. Pacers player props
Looking for Atlanta vs. Indiana NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 24 points, 11 rebounds and 7 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 24 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 24 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 54 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 19 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| CJ McCollum | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 36 |
| Corey Kispert | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 46 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 17 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 37 |
| B. Mathurin | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 15 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 32 |
| Jarace Walker | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Hawks vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Pacers and Hawks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Saturday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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