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Falcons vs. Jets prediction: Atlanta favored to win in NFL Week 13, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets predictions for NFL Sunday.
The New York Jets will square off with the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 13 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model projects the Falcons as the most likely winner of the Falcons vs. Jets game.
This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Falcons vs. Jets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Falcons-Jets predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Falcons and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Falcons a 63% chance of defeating the Jets in Week 13 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Falcons winning 20-17.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Falcons and Jets each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 38.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 13 straight up picks.
Falcons vs. Jets odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Falcons | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3 (-108) | +3 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +140 |
| Total | o38.5 (-105) | u38.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Falcons vs. Jets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons -3 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Falcons | -160 |
| Total | Under 38.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Falcons to win.
Falcons vs. Jets TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Falcons vs. Jets?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 13, Bijan Robinson is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs. Jets.
Our projections give Robinson a 54.1% chance of getting in for six at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 16.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (RB) | 54.1% |
| Tyler Allgeier (RB) | 33.3% |
| Darnell Mooney (WR) | 26.3% |
| Kyle Pitts (TE) | 26.2% |
| David Sills (WR) | 17.9% |
New York Jets
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 36.9% |
| Mason Taylor (TE) | 24.0% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 23.8% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 21.7% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 15.1% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Atlanta Falcons
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson (RB) | 16.6% |
| Tyler Allgeier (RB) | 8.6% |
| Darnell Mooney (WR) | 6.5% |
| Kyle Pitts (TE) | 6.5% |
| David Sills (WR) | 4.2% |
New York Jets
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 10.4% |
| Mason Taylor (TE) | 6.2% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 6.1% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 5.5% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 3.7% |
Falcons vs Jets player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Jets. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 13 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 203 passing yards, while the Jets' Tyrod Taylor is expected to throw for just 180 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins (ATL) | 203 |
| Tyrod Taylor (NYJ) | 180 |
Falcons rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | 83 |
| Tyler Allgeier | 33 |
| Kirk Cousins | 4 |
Jets rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 79 |
| Tyrod Taylor | 27 |
| Isaiah Davis | 19 |
Falcons receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Darnell Mooney | 51 |
| Kyle Pitts | 47 |
| Bijan Robinson | 33 |
| David Sills | 27 |
| Dylan Drummond | 22 |
Jets receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell | 42 |
| John Metchie | 40 |
| Mason Taylor | 32 |
| Breece Hall | 24 |
| Allen Lazard | 12 |
Falcons vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 13 game between the Jets and Falcons at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets
- Date: Sunday, November 30, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Falcons, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 13 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Falcons vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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