Jun 13, 2026
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Read Article Braves vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [6/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Saturday.
The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Saturday, starting at 4:10 PM ET.
The Mets will start Sean Manaea (1-1, 5.02 ERA), up against Martín Pérez (4-3, 3.02 ERA) for the Braves.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 53.8% win probability over the Braves.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Braves vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Braves vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB matchup between the Braves and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Mets a 53.8% chance of beating the Braves.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 66.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.1% chance of going over,.
Braves vs. Mets odds [6/13/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Braves | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+162) | +1.5 (-187) |
| Moneyline | -104 | -112 |
| Total | o8.5 (+102) | u8.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Braves vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -187 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -112 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | +102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Braves vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB game between the Mets and Braves at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 53.8% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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