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Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Tight Battle Predicted After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

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Written by Dave Garofolo
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Tight Battle Predicted After New Data Released for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Atlanta Braves are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Chase Field on Thursday, starting at 9:40PM ET.

Brandon Pfaadt (3-6, 4.19 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, while the Braves are going with Max Fried (7-4, 3.18 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Braves as the most likely winner of the game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Braves-Diamondbacks game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Braves with a win probability of 52% and the Diamondbacks with 48%."

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB action between the Diamondbacks and Braves at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 9:40PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Thursday's Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Diamondbacks vs. Braves picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Access 158 bets, including a 14% edge
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Braves vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Braves and Diamondbacks 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Braves a 52% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 51% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:28AM, Jul 12
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Braves
Win %
52%
48%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
D-Backs
Braves ATL
Win %
52%
48%
See Matchup
D-Backs ARI
Max Fried 7-4, 3.18 ERA
Brandon Pfaadt 3-6, 4.19 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds [7/11/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Braves Diamondbacks
Run Line -1.5 (+140) +1.5 (-164)
Moneyline -118 +100
Total o8 (-102) u8 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Picks

Our model's strongest edge in the Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Access 130 MLB bets, including a 14% edge
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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Braves, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Braves vs. Diamondbacks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and our data-led MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date probabilities and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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