Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction: Tight Battle Projected in Updated Analysis for Sunday's MLB Game [8/11/2024]

The Boston Red Sox will square off with the Houston Astros in MLB action at Fenway Park on Sunday, beginning at 1:35PM ET.

James Paxton (9-3, 4.42 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Red Sox, pitting him against Hunter Brown (9-7, 3.98 ERA) for the Astros.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Astros as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Astros-Red Sox game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Astros with a win probability of 55%, while the Red Sox have 45%."

Astros vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Astros at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 1:35PM ET.

• Who: Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
• Date: Sunday, August 11, 2024
• Time: 1:35PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Venue: Fenway Park
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Sunday's Astros vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Red Sox vs. Astros picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Astros and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB picks coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Astros a 55% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 10 runs has a 51% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 5:27PM, Aug 11

Moneyline

Over / Under

Run Line

Astros

Win %

55%

45%

-130

+125

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Red Sox

Astros HOU

-130

Win %

55%

45%

See Matchup

Red Sox BOS

+125

Hunter Brown 9-7, 3.98 ERA

James Paxton 9-3, 4.43 ERA

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Astros vs. Red Sox Odds [8/11/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Astros vs. Red Sox Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Astros vs. Red Sox matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot: Best Bets Video

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Astros, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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