Aston Villa vs. Tottenham prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/3/2026]

Premier League action continues on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET as Tottenham locks horns with Aston Villa at Villa Park.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Tottenham game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 44.8% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 31.0% chance for Tottenham, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Aston Villa	Tottenham	Draw
+125	+200	+270

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-150	+120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Aston Villa	+125
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+120

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
AVL 1-1 TOT	11.2%
AVL 2-1 TOT	9.2%
AVL 1-0 TOT	8.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Premier League matchup between Aston Villa and Tottenham at Villa Park is scheduled to begin in the United States at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Aston Villa vs. Tottenham
• Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Villa Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 44.8% win probability on Sunday, Tottenham has a 31.0% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.