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Aston Villa vs. Tottenham prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Aston Villa vs Tottenham predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Aston Villa will face Tottenham in Premier League action at Villa Park on Sunday, beginning at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Tottenham game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Tottenham, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 45.7% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 30.3% chance for Tottenham, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Aston Villa | Tottenham | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +225 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -138 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aston Villa | +120 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -138 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AVL 1-1 TOT | 11.2% |
| AVL 2-1 TOT | 9.3% |
| AVL 1-0 TOT | 8.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 40.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Aston Villa and Tottenham at Villa Park is scheduled to start in the USA at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Tottenham
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 45.7% win probability on Sunday, Tottenham has a 30.3% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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