Aston Villa vs. Tottenham Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Tottenham Premier League match on May 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Tottenham
2
1
Villa Park
Aston Villa
Villa Park
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
TottenhamTOT
E. Buendia (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Gallagher (12')
Soccer ball icon
Richarlison (25')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tottenham
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: P. M. Sarr replaces Richarlison
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: L. Bergvall replaces M. Tel
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Gallagher (Tottenham) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia, assisted by M. Cash
    2-1
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces R. Barkley
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. Sancho
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    K. Danso (Tottenham) cautioned
  8. 77'
    Yellow Card
    M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
  9. 73'
    Yellow Card
    M. Tel (Tottenham) cautioned
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: D. Spence replaces R. Kolo Muani
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tottenham: Y. Bissouma replaces R. Bentancur
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: O. Watkins replaces T. Abraham
  13. 51'
    Yellow Card
    R. Barkley (Aston Villa) cautioned
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Bentancur (Tottenham) cautioned
  15. 27'
    Yellow Card
    R. Kolo Muani (Tottenham) cautioned
  16. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tottenham by Richarlison, assisted by M. Tel
    2-0
  17. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tottenham by C. Gallagher
    1-0

Aston Villa vs. Tottenham: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Tottenham
  • Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +130, Tottenham +225, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+123)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 44.8%
  • Tottenham: 31.0%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Aston Villa 1-1 Tottenham (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Aston Villa vs. Tottenham? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.8%.

The most likely correct score is Aston Villa 1-1 Tottenham.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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