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Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula prediction, odds, picks for WTA Finals 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sabalenka vs Pegula predictions for WTA Finals 2025.
Aryna Sabalenka will take on Jessica Pegula in the WTA Finals Women's Singles 2025 event on Tuesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner of the Sabalenka vs. Pegula match.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sabalenka vs. Pegula prediction: Who will win WTA Finals 2025 match?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Sabalenka-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Sabalenka a 76% chance of beating Pegula at the WTA Finals 2025 tournament.
Additionally, Sabalenka has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sabalenka | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -337 | +280 |
| First Set | -250 | +200 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-122) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-122) | u20.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sabalenka vs. Pegula picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sabalenka | -337 |
| First Set | Pegula | -122 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.
Sabalenka vs. Pegula updates and essential details
The WTA Finals 2025 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 10:30AM ET.
- Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula
- Date: Tuesday, November 4, 2025
- Approx. Time: 10:30AM ET/7:30AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Finals Women's Singles 2025
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Jessica Pegula at the WTA Finals 2025 tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sabalenka vs. Pegula insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Tennis
Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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