Arkansas vs. Missouri prediction: Why Missouri is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/7/2026]

Missouri will take on Arkansas in men's college basketball action at Mizzou Arena on Saturday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Missouri as the most likely winner of the Arkansas vs. Missouri game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas vs. Missouri prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Arkansas and Missouri 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Missouri a 62% chance of defeating Arkansas. Our predicted final score has Missouri winning 81-77.

According to our model, Missouri (-2.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Arkansas vs. Missouri odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arkansas	Missouri
Spread	+2.5 (-110)	-2.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+130	-150
Total	o162.5 (-105)	u162.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas vs. Missouri picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Missouri -2.5	-110
Moneyline	Missouri	-150
Total	Under 162.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri -2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Arkansas vs. Missouri game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Missouri and Arkansas at Mizzou Arena is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas vs. Missouri
• Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
• Venue: Mizzou Arena

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Conclusion

We predict Missouri, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas vs. Missouri insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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