Arkansas vs. Arizona prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win men's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup [3/26/2026]

Arizona will face Arkansas in March Madness Sweet Sixteen action at SAP Center at San Jose on Thursday, commencing at 9:45 PM ET.

For this March Madness Sweet Sixteen clash, Arizona—a complete team with a monstrous frontcourt and NBA-level talent— come up against Arkansas, dominant guard play led by Calipari’s best point guard in years.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Arizona as the most likely winner of the Arkansas vs. Arizona game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas vs. Arizona prediction: Who will win and advance to the Elite Eight?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament game between Arkansas and Arizona, forming part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Arizona a 79% chance of beating Arkansas. Our predicted final score has Arizona winning 85-75.

According to our model, Arizona (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Arkansas vs. Arizona odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas vs. Arizona picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: