Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State prediction: Why Arkansas-Pine Bluff is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/5/2026]

Alcorn State will face Arkansas-Pine Bluff, in what is expected to be a tight men's college basketball game, at Davey L. Whitney Complex on Thursday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model gives Arkansas-Pine Bluff a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Alcorn State.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Alcorn State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas-Pine Bluff a 54% chance of beating Alcorn State. Our predicted final score has Arkansas-Pine Bluff winning 74-73.

According to our model, Alcorn State (+4.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 139.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	Alcorn State
Spread	-4.5 (-120)	+4.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-130	+172
Total	o139.5 (-115)	u139.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Alcorn State +4.5	-110
Moneyline	Alcorn State	+172
Total	Under 139.5	-115

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alcorn State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball game between Alcorn State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Davey L. Whitney Complex is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State
• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Davey L. Whitney Complex

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Conclusion

We predict Arkansas-Pine Bluff, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Alcorn State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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