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Arizona State vs. Virginia prediction: Virginia favored to win women's March Madness First Four matchup [3/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Arizona State vs Virginia predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Virginia will face Arizona State in March Madness First Four action at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on Thursday, commencing at 9:05 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Virginia as the most likely winner of the Arizona State vs. Virginia game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Arizona State vs. Virginia prediction: Who will win and advance to the First Round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAAW Tournament matchup between Arizona State and Virginia 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Virginia a 64% chance of defeating Arizona State.
According to our model, the over/under total of 126.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Arizona State vs. Virginia odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arizona State | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-112) | -2.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | o126.5 (-110) | u126.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arizona State vs. Virginia picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Virginia -2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Virginia | -142 |
| Total | Over 126.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Virginia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arizona State vs. Virginia game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball matchup between Virginia and Arizona State at Carver-Hawkeye Arena is scheduled to start at 9:05 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona State vs. Virginia
- Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
- Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
- Venue: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
- March Madness stage: First Four
College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Arizona State vs. Virginia predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.
Conclusion
We predict Virginia, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Arizona State this women's March Madness First Four matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arizona State vs. Virginia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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