Arizona State vs. Iowa State prediction: Why Iowa State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/11/2026]

Iowa State and Arizona State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at T-Mobile Center on Wednesday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Iowa State as the most likely winner of the Arizona State vs. Iowa State game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arizona State vs. Iowa State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Arizona State and Iowa State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Iowa State an 88% chance of defeating Arizona State. Our predicted final score has Iowa State winning 81-69.

According to our model, Iowa State (-12.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

Arizona State vs. Iowa State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Arizona State	Iowa State
Spread	+12.5 (-102)	-12.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+750	-1100
Total	o148.5 (-106)	u148.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arizona State vs. Iowa State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Iowa State -12.5	-120
Moneyline	Arizona State	+750
Total	Over 148.5	-106

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 148.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Arizona State vs. Iowa State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball game between Iowa State and Arizona State at T-Mobile Center is scheduled to commence at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Arizona State vs. Iowa State
• Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Center

College basketball betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Arizona State vs. Iowa State predictions by exploring the below offers from Bet365 and BetMGM.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $150 in bonus bets win or lose with code "DIMERS".

BetMGM

Sign up to BetMGM with code "DIMERS" now to unlock their 'Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win' offer.

Conclusion

We predict Iowa State, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Arizona State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arizona State vs. Iowa State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.