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Diamondbacks vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.
The New York Mets and Arizona dbacks are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
Nolan McLean (1-0, 2.61 ERA) will start for the Mets, while the Diamondbacks are going with Eduardo Rodriguez (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Diamondbacks vs. Mets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Diamondbacks and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 60% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.
According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of seven runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets odds [4/9/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Diamondbacks | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-146) | -1.5 (+129) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -181 |
| Total | o7 (+102) | u7 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Diamondbacks +1.5 | -146 |
| Moneyline | Diamondbacks | +160 |
| Total | Over 7 | +102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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