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Cardinals vs. Cowboys prediction: Dallas favored to win MNF Week 9, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys predictions for NFL Monday.
NFL action continues on Monday at 8:15PM ET as the Arizona Cardinals take on the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Cowboys as the most likely winner of the Cardinals vs. Cowboys game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Since our Cardinals-Cowboys predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Monday's NFL matchup between the Cardinals and Cowboys 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Cowboys a 62% chance of defeating the Cardinals in Week 9 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 28-24.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cardinals and Cowboys each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 9 straight up picks.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cardinals | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-115) | -3.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +154 | -175 |
| Total | o53.5 (-114) | u53.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys -3.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | +154 |
| Total | Under 53.5 | -105 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cowboys -3.5 at the spread.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Cardinals vs. Cowboys?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for MNF, Javonte Williams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Cardinals vs. Cowboys.
Our projections give Williams a 62.5% chance of scoring a TD at AT&T Stadium, while the running back is a 14.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bam Knight (RB) | 46.5% |
| Trey McBride (TE) | 41.6% |
| Marvin Harrison (WR) | 39.7% |
| Michael Carter (RB) | 24.6% |
| Michael Wilson (WR) | 23.7% |
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (RB) | 62.5% |
| CeeDee Lamb (WR) | 47.1% |
| George Pickens (WR) | 40.9% |
| Jake Ferguson (TE) | 32.1% |
| KaVontae Turpin (WR) | 17.5% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Bam Knight (RB) | 9.9% |
| Trey McBride (TE) | 8.5% |
| Marvin Harrison (WR) | 8.0% |
| Michael Carter (RB) | 4.4% |
| Michael Wilson (WR) | 4.3% |
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (RB) | 14.8% |
| CeeDee Lamb (WR) | 9.6% |
| George Pickens (WR) | 8.0% |
| Jake Ferguson (TE) | 5.9% |
| KaVontae Turpin (WR) | 2.9% |
Cardinals vs Cowboys player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cardinals and Cowboys. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 9 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cardinals' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 245 passing yards. The Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 276 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett (ARI) | 245 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 276 |
Cardinals rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Bam Knight | 54 |
| Michael Carter | 29 |
| Jacoby Brissett | 19 |
Cowboys rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 75 |
| Malik Davis | 17 |
| Dak Prescott | 11 |
Cardinals receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride | 70 |
| Marvin Harrison | 63 |
| Michael Wilson | 34 |
| Zay Jones | 27 |
| Bam Knight | 14 |
Cowboys receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 86 |
| George Pickens | 69 |
| Jake Ferguson | 45 |
| KaVontae Turpin | 25 |
| Javonte Williams | 19 |
Cardinals vs. Cowboys game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 9 matchup between the Cowboys and Cardinals at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Monday, November 3, 2025
- Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Cowboys, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Week 9 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cardinals vs. Cowboys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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