...
...
Read Article
App State vs. Texas State prediction: Why Appalachian State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get App State vs Texas State predictions for college basketball Friday.
Texas State and App State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Appalachian State a slight edge with a 51% win probability over Texas State.
This article offers further insights into Friday's App State vs. Texas State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
App State vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAA basketball game between App State and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Appalachian State a 51% chance of defeating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Appalachian State winning 70-69.
According to our model, Texas State (+1.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 135.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
App State vs. Texas State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | App State | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (+105) | +1.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -104 |
| Total | o135.5 (-108) | u135.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
App State vs. Texas State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State +1.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Appalachian State | -110 |
| Total | Over 135.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 135.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
App State vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details
Friday's men's college basketball action between Texas State and App State at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Appalachian State vs. Texas State
- Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Appalachian State, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Texas State on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Appalachian State vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure