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Ducks vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/25/2025]
Get Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Saturday.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will take on the Anaheim Ducks in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena on Saturday, commencing at 5:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Ducks vs. Lightning game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.
Ducks vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Ducks and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 64% chance of beating the Ducks.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Ducks vs. Lightning odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ducks | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-140) | -1.5 (+124) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -200 |
| Total | o6.5 (-120) | u6.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ducks vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +124 |
| Moneyline | Ducks | +170 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Ducks vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Brayden Point is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Point a 44.4% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 27.3% |
| Leo Carlsson | 25.4% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 23.2% |
| Mason McTavish | 22.6% |
| Troy Terry | 18.3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 44.4% |
| Jake Guentzel | 43.7% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 38.6% |
| Brandon Hagel | 32.5% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 31.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 5.0% |
| Leo Carlsson | 4.8% |
| Mason McTavish | 4.5% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 4.4% |
| Troy Terry | 3.5% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 9.3% |
| Brayden Point | 8.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.6% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 5.9% |
| Brandon Hagel | 5.7% |
Ducks vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Lightning and Ducks at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00PM ET.
- Who: Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Time: 5:00PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ducks vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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