Ducks vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/9/2025]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Anaheim Ducks, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Penguins a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Ducks.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's Ducks vs. Penguins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ducks vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Ducks and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 53% chance of defeating the Ducks.

According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Ducks vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Ducks	Penguins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-258)	-1.5 (+210)
Moneyline	-112	-105
Total	o6.5 (-120)	u6.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ducks vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Penguins -1.5	+210
Moneyline	Penguins	-105
Total	Under 6.5	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.

Ducks vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Crosby a 41.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson	31.6%
Chris Kreider	31.0%
Cutter Gauthier	30.1%
Beckett Sennecke	23.1%
Mason McTavish	22.1%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	41.1%
Bryan Rust	34.3%
Anthony Mantha	26.6%
Thomas Novak	24.4%
Kevin Hayes	23.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player	First Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson	5.8%
Chris Kreider	5.6%
Cutter Gauthier	5.6%
Troy Terry	3.9%
Mason McTavish	3.9%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	8.4%
Bryan Rust	6.3%
Anthony Mantha	5.0%
Thomas Novak	4.1%
Kevin Hayes	4.1%

Ducks vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Penguins and Ducks at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Anaheim Ducks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ducks vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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