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Ducks vs. Islanders prediction: Islanders favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Anaheim Ducks vs NY Islanders predictions for NHL Thursday.
The NY Islanders and Anaheim Ducks will lock horns in the NHL at UBS Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Islanders a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Ducks.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Ducks vs. Islanders matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Ducks vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Ducks and Islanders 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Islanders a 54% chance of defeating the Ducks.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Ducks vs. Islanders odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ducks | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-225) | -1.5 (+190) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | o6.5 (-104) | u6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ducks vs. Islanders picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Islanders -1.5 | +190 |
| Moneyline | Islanders | -125 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -115 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Ducks vs. Islanders player props
Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Horvat a 42.2% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is an 8.5% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson | 31.3% |
| Chris Kreider | 29.7% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 27.2% |
| Mason McTavish | 21.9% |
| Troy Terry | 21.9% |
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 42.2% |
| Anders Lee | 27.5% |
| Mathew Barzal | 26.7% |
| Emil Heineman | 21.9% |
| Max Shabanov | 21.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson | 6.4% |
| Chris Kreider | 6.2% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 5.0% |
| Mason McTavish | 4.4% |
| Troy Terry | 4.1% |
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 8.5% |
| Anders Lee | 5.1% |
| Mathew Barzal | 5.0% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.4% |
| Emil Heineman | 4.4% |
Ducks vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Islanders and Ducks at UBS Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Anaheim Ducks vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ducks vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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