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Alexander Bublik vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Bublik vs Tsitsipas predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas are scheduled to meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alexander Bublik as the most likely winner of the Bublik vs. Tsitsipas match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bublik vs. Tsitsipas prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Bublik-Tsitsipas men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Bublik a 62% chance of beating Tsitsipas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Bublik has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bublik (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alexander Bublik vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bublik | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -175 | +150 |
| First Set | -164 | +130 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-150) | +1.5 (-105) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-110) | u23.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bublik vs. Tsitsipas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bublik | -175 |
| First Set | Tsitsipas | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexander Bublik to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bublik vs. Tsitsipas updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Alexander Bublik and Stefanos Tsitsipas is scheduled to start on Saturday at 3:10 PM ET.
- Who: Alexander Bublik vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:10 PM ET/12:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Bublik, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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