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Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open
Get Bublik vs de Minaur predictions for 2026 Australian Open.

Alexander Bublik will square off with Alex de Minaur in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Bublik vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bublik vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Bublik-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives de Minaur a 59% chance of winning against Bublik in the 2026 Australian Open.
Additionally, de Minaur has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bublik (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 40.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bublik | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +138 | -165 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-118) | -2.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o40.5 (-110) | u40.5 (-116) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bublik vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bublik | +138 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -116 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexander Bublik to win the first set.
Bublik vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Alexander Bublik and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 3:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alexander Bublik vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:00 AM ET/12:00AM PT
- Tournament: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Alexander Bublik at the 2026 Australian Open.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bublik vs. de Minaur insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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