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Alex de Minaur vs. Stan Wawrinka prediction, odds, picks for ATP Rotterdam Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get de Minaur vs Wawrinka predictions for ATP Rotterdam Open.
Alex de Minaur and Stan Wawrinka will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Rotterdam Open event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the de Minaur vs. Wawrinka match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
de Minaur vs. Wawrinka prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's de Minaur-Wawrinka men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives de Minaur an 87% chance of beating Wawrinka at the ATP Rotterdam Open tournament.
Additionally, de Minaur has an 81% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting**, according to our model.
Alex de Minaur vs. Stan Wawrinka odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | de Minaur | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -752 | +670 |
| First Set | -500 | +350 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-130) | +4.5 (-104) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-105) | u21.5 (-135) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
de Minaur vs. Wawrinka picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wawrinka | +670 |
| First Set | Wawrinka | -135 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
de Minaur vs. Wawrinka updates and essential details
The ATP Rotterdam Open match between Alex de Minaur and Stan Wawrinka is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Stan Wawrinka
- Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rotterdam, Netherlands Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alex de Minaur, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat Stan Wawrinka at the ATP Rotterdam Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate de Minaur vs. Wawrinka insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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