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Alex de Minaur vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2025

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Written by Nick Slade

Get de Minaur vs Berrettini predictions for ATP Vienna Open.

Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis Prediction.
Our Alex de Minaur and Matteo Berrettini tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Alex de Minaur and Matteo Berrettini will lock horns in the quarterfinals of the ATP Vienna Open event on Friday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the de Minaur vs. Berrettini match.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

de Minaur vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's de Minaur-Berrettini men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 73% chance of defeating Berrettini at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show de Minaur (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Alex de Minaur vs. Matteo Berrettini odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type de Minaur Berrettini
Moneyline -300 +260
First Set -250 +200
Game Spread +3.5 (-124) -3.5 (-108)
Total Games o22.5 (-130) u22.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

de Minaur vs. Berrettini picks and best bet

Our predictions, matched with the best odds, reveal the top betting picks for this match, detailed in Dimers' best tennis bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Berrettini +260
First Set Berrettini -104

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Berrettini to win the first set.

de Minaur vs. Berrettini updates and essential details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Alex de Minaur and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to begin on Friday at 7:30AM ET.

  • Who: Alex de Minaur vs. Matteo Berrettini
  • Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 7:30AM ET/4:30AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alex de Minaur, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Berrettini at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate de Minaur vs. Berrettini insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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