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Alaves vs. Girona prediction, odds, La Liga picks [2/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Girona predictions for La Liga Monday.
Alaves and Girona are scheduled to meet in La Liga at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Monday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model projects Alaves as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Girona game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. Girona prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's La Liga match between Alaves and Girona 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 39.5% chance of Alaves winning, a 32.3% chance for Girona, and a 28.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Alaves vs. Girona odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Alaves | Girona | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +140 | +235 | +200 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +146 | -180 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. Girona picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Girona | +235 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +146 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Girona to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Alaves vs. Girona: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 GIR | 13.2% |
| ALV 1-0 GIR | 12.2% |
| ALV 0-1 GIR | 10.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.7% chance that both teams scoring, and a 53.3% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Girona game-day updates and essential details
Monday's La Liga action between Alaves and Girona at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to begin in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Girona
- Date: Monday, February 23, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 39.5% win probability on Monday, Girona has a 32.3% win probability, and there is a 28.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Girona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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