Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [5/3/2025]

Alaves will take on Atletico Madrid in La Liga action at Estadio de Mendizorroza on Saturday, starting at 8:00AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Alaves-Atletico Madrid game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Alaves a 26.9% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid a 45.7% chance, and a 27.4% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid predictions page.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Alaves and Atletico Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 26.9% chance of Alaves winning, a 45.7% chance for Atletico Madrid, and a 27.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Alaves	Atletico Madrid	Draw
+280	+115	+210

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+140	-172

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best La Liga picks and La Liga best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Atletico Madrid win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ALV 0-1 ATM	13.2%
ALV 1-1 ATM	12.8%
ALV 0-0 ATM	9.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.3% chance that both teams scoring, and a 53.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's La Liga matchup between Alaves and Atletico Madrid at Estadio de Mendizorroza is scheduled to commence in the United States at 8:00AM ET.

• Who: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
• Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
• Time: 8:00AM ET/5:00AM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Saturday's Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Alaves has a 26.9% win probability on Saturday, Atletico Madrid has a 45.7% win probability, and there is a 27.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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