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Alabama vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win NCAAW matchup [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Alabama vs Texas predictions for college basketball Friday.
Texas and Alabama will lock horns in the women's college basketball at Bon Secours Wellness Arena on Friday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Texas as the most likely winner of the Alabama vs. Texas game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Alabama vs. Texas prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's women's basketball matchup between Alabama and Texas 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Texas a 92% chance of beating Alabama.
According to our model, the over/under total of 133.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Alabama vs. Texas odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Alabama | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 (-105) | -16.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +1200 | -2222 |
| Total | o133.5 (-110) | u133.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alabama vs. Texas picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas -16.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Alabama | +1200 |
| Total | Under 133.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Alabama vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details
Friday's women's basketball game between Texas and Alabama at Bon Secours Wellness Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Alabama vs. Texas
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Bon Secours Wellness Arena
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Conclusion
We predict Texas, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat Alabama on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alabama vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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