MLB Wednesday Picks

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August 19, 2020 1:08 PM

Our predictive modelling system has been pulling winners out left, right and center and today is looking like another fire day.

Here are our best picks from nine of today's massive MLB slate.

Our predictions and plays for today's slate 👇

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Blue Jays @ Orioles

BEST: 💪 Orioles +1.5 (-150*) has a 61% probability

Our model likes the home team to cover in this one, giving them a 61% chance. The Orioles covered yesterday and should be able to build on that today.

Suggested Moneyline and Over/Under plays HERE

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Phillies @ Red Sox

BEST: 💵 Red Sox moneyline (+125*) has a 53% probability

Our predictive modelling is going for the underdogs at the moneyline in this one. Get the Sox at plus money to get the W or even take them at the run line with a 65% probability of covering.

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

Indians @ Pirates

BEST: 💵 Pirates moneyline (+160*) has a 7.7% edge

Our data suggests that the books are underestimating the Pirates in this one, with our model seeing a 7.7% on the odds being offered up for Pittsburgh to steal this one.

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

 

Rays @ Yankees

BEST: 👇 Total runs: Under 8 (+100*) has a 53% probability

Some tasty plus money for this play, with our model not seeing a lot of runs in today’s Yankees / Rays matchup.

Suggested Moneyline and Run line plays HERE

Nationals @ Braves

BEST: 👇 Total runs: Under 10.5 (-110*) has a 53% probability

Another game where our model is favoring the pitchers, look for this one to max out at 10 runs.

Suggested Run line and Moneyline plays HERE

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Astros @ Rockies

BEST: 💪 Astros -1.5 (-110*) has a 52% probability

The two previous games between these squads have finished 2-1 to Houston, but our predictive modelling sees them breaking loose today and winning by at least 2 runs.

Suggested Moneyline and Over/Under plays HERE

Rangers @ Padres

BEST: ☝ Total runs: Over 7.5 (+105*) has a 51% probability

Our data is telling us that this is more likely than not to go over and with plus money out there, it’s our best pick for this game.

Suggested Moneyline and Run line plays HERE

Diamondbacks @ Athletics

BEST: 💵 Athletics moneyline (-180*) has a 62% probability

The A’s should prove too strong today, with our data suggesting the books have this one right. Take them at the moneyline with confidence.

Suggested Over/Under and Run line plays HERE

Dodgers @ Mariners

BEST: 💪 Mariners +1.5 (+130*) has a 7.3% edge

We’ve crunched the numbers and our data is seeing something the books aren’t in this one. A massive 7.3% edge at plus money makes this a great play. 

Suggested Moneyline and Over/Under plays HERE

🏀 Our picks for today's NBA playoffs.

🏒 Our picks for today's NHL playoffs.

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*Odds, percentages and edges correct at time of publishing.