Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Nationals MLB game on June 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Tim Mayza 2-1, 2.97 ERA
1
4
Jun 22, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
Nationals
Foster Griffin 7-2, 3.32 ERA
Jun 22, 6:45 PM ET Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 5 1
Nationals
1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 X 4 12 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Nationals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000002.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH4000002.0000.000
3 B. Harper 1B4020000.5001.000
4 A. Bohm 3B4000001.0000.000
5 J. Crawford PH1000001.0000.000
6 B. Marsh RF3111101.3331.666
7 D. Hill CF3010002.3331.000
8 B. Stott 2B3000002.0000.000
9 R. Marchán C3010000.3330.666
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood RF4220002.5001.350
2 C. Mead 3B5112101.2001.000
3 D. Crews LF5021001.4001.000
4 C. Abrams SS4010000.2500.500
5 J. Young CF4010001.2500.500
6 D. Lile DH4000002.0000.000
7 K. Ruiz C3020000.6671.750
8 L. García 1B4111100.2501.250
9 N. Nuñez 2B4020001.5001.000

Phillies vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Nationals
  • Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nationals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies +115, Nationals -111

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 49%
  • Nationals: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 49%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.