Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Rays MLB game on June 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
Payton Tolle 3-2, 2.28 ERA
3
4
Tropicana Field
Rays
Nick Martinez 5-2, 2.29 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 6 1
Rays
0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 X 4 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Mickey Gasper grounds out to first base to Ryan Vilade.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF4011001.2500.500
2 C. Rafaela CF4000000.0000.000
3 W. Abreu RF4010000.2500.750
4 W. Contreras 1B4000001.0000.000
5 M. Yoshida DH4000000.0000.000
6 M. Gasper C4000000.0000.000
7 C. Durbin 3B3110000.3330.666
8 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B3220000.6671.667
9 M. Mayer SS3012000.3331.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH3010010.3330.833
2 J. Caminero 3B4010001.2500.750
3 C. Simpson LF4000002.0000.000
4 R. Vilade 1B4130000.7501.750
5 A. Slater RF4010000.2500.500
6 C. Mullins CF4111001.2500.500
7 B. Williamson 2B4221000.5001.250
8 N. Fortes C3021000.6671.750
9 T. Walls SS0000000.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Rays
  • Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox 53¢, Rays 46¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 52%
  • Rays: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 52%, while the Rays have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.