Reds vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Padres MLB game on June 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Reds
Chase Burns 7-1, 2.05 ERA
5
3
Petco Park
Padres
Lucas Giolito 2-1, 4.86 ERA
Petco Park
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 RHE
Reds
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 0
Padres
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 12 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    100%
  • Padres
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jackson Merrill flies out to center field to Dane Myers.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Dunn RF5110012.2000.533
2 J. Bleday LF6110001.1670.334
3 S. Stewart 3B4112122.2501.500
4 D. Myers CF3010001.3330.666
5 S. Steer 1B6100003.0000.000
6 W. Benson DH0000000.0000.000
7 M. McLain SS3100022.0000.400
8 P. Higgins C0000000.0000.000
9 E. Arroyo 2B5010002.2000.400
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis 2B6140000.6671.500
2 J. Merrill CF6121001.3331.000
3 M. Machado 3B5021001.4001.000
4 G. Sheets 1B5100003.0000.000
5 T. France DH1000001.0000.500
6 S. Taylor LF4021012.5001.350
7 J. Bowen RF2000001.0000.000
8 F. Fermin C5000000.0000.000
9 S. Song SS5010003.2000.400

Reds vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Padres
  • Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Reds favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 55¢, Padres 45¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 54%
  • Padres: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 54%, while the Padres have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Petco Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.