Rangers vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rangers vs. Astros MLB game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rangers
Jacob deGrom 3-2, 2.62 ERA
1
4
Daikin Park
Astros
Kai-Wei Teng 1-3, 3.12 ERA
Daikin Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rangers
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 0
Astros
2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 X 4 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rangers
    0%
  • Astros
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ezequiel Duran hits into a force out to shortstop. Andrew McCutchen out at second.
Quick Box Score
Rangers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Pederson DH3011021.3330.933
2 B. Nimmo RF5000002.0000.000
3 J. Jung 3B4000011.0000.200
4 A. McCutchen LF2010000.5001.000
5 E. Duran SS5010001.2000.400
6 A. Osuna CF4010001.2500.500
7 J. Burger 1B3110011.3330.833
8 D. Jansen C1000020.0000.750
9 J. Foscue 2B4010002.2500.500
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Allen 2B0000000.0000.000
2 I. Paredes 3B4000000.0000.000
3 Y. Alvarez DH3111100.3331.666
4 C. Walker 1B3111101.3331.666
5 B. Shewmake SS3000001.0000.000
6 B. Matthews CF3000000.0000.000
7 Z. Cole LF3111101.3331.666
8 C. Smith RF0000000.0000.000
9 C. Vázquez C2000010.0000.333

Rangers vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rangers vs. Astros
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rangers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rangers 58¢, Astros 43¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rangers: 55%
  • Astros: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rangers a win probability of 55%, while the Astros have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rangers vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.