Mets vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Rays MLB game on Tuesday, September 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Sean Manaea 4-6, 4.55 ERA
2
6
Tropicana Field
Rays
Freddy Peralta 6-11, 5.11 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1
Rays
1 0 1 0 0 3 0 1 X 6 13 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
A.J. Ewing strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS3112111.3331.833
2 J. Soto DH4000000.0000.000
3 B. Bichette 3B4010001.2500.500
4 C. Benge RF4010001.2500.500
5 J. Young LF3100012.0000.250
6 M. Semien 2B1000010.0000.500
7 F. Alvarez C4000002.0000.000
8 A. Ewing CF3000012.0000.250
9 M. Vientos 1B1000000.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4221111.5002.100
2 R. Vilade 1B5022000.4001.200
3 J. Caminero 3B5021000.4000.800
4 J. DeLuca CF3000000.0000.000
5 J. Mateo 2B4000001.0000.000
6 C. Simpson LF4110001.2500.500
7 N. Fortes C4121001.5001.250
8 V. Mesa RF4230000.7501.500
9 T. Walls SS2011000.5001.333

Mets vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Tuesday, September 1, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -178), Rays (-1.5, +180)
  • Moneyline: Mets +120, Rays -122
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+105)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 46.4%
  • Rays: 53.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 46.4%, while the Rays have a win probability of 53.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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