Marlins vs. Nationals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Nationals MLB game on Friday, August 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Marlins
Eury Pérez 7-9, 3.17 ERA
2
9
Nationals Park
Nationals
Jackson Kent 0-2, 8.03 ERA
Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 5 1
Nationals
0 0 5 0 0 0 4 0 X 9 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Nationals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Esteury Ruiz flies out to center field to Jacob Young.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 H. Hernández LF3111110.3331.833
2 A. Ramírez DH3000010.0000.250
3 O. Lopez SS4010001.2500.500
4 J. Sanoja 3B3110010.3331.167
5 X. Edwards 2B4011000.2500.500
6 O. Caissie RF1000001.0000.000
7 L. Jiménez 1B3000011.0000.250
8 E. Ruiz CF3000011.0000.250
9 B. Navarreto C0000000.0000.000
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Abrams SS3100011.0000.250
2 A. Ortiz 1B4120002.5001.250
3 D. Crews RF4112001.2500.750
4 D. Lile LF3111011.3331.500
5 B. House 3B4113102.2501.250
6 J. Vivas 2B4010000.2500.500
7 H. Ford C4111100.2501.250
8 A. Chaparro DH2200021.0000.500
9 J. Young CF3100010.0000.250

Marlins vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 6:45PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Marlins (-1.5, +125), Nationals (+1.5, -127)
  • Moneyline: Marlins -130, Nationals +127
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+100/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Marlins: 56.8%
  • Nationals: 43.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 56.8%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 43.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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