Pirates vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cardinals MLB game on Friday, August 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Jared Jones 2-5, 4.77 ERA
1
4
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Quinn Mathews 0-2, 6.43 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 6 3
Cardinals
0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 X 4 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Cardinals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Gonzalez SS1000000.0000.000
2 E. Valdez RF4000002.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds DH3000011.0000.250
4 O. Cruz CF4020002.5001.000
5 N. Gonzales 3B3010010.3330.833
6 R. Flores C4000002.0000.000
7 J. Mangum LF3100001.0000.250
8 B. Lowe 2B1000001.0000.000
9 S. Horwitz 1B1000000.0000.000
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt SS4000002.0000.000
2 I. Herrera DH4000000.0000.000
3 A. Burleson 1B4000001.0000.000
4 J. Walker RF4230001.7501.500
5 J. Fermín LF4020001.5001.000
6 N. Church CF3001000.0000.000
7 R. Urías 2B0000000.0000.000
8 N. Gorman 3B3110011.3331.167
9 J. Crooks C3112101.3331.666

Pirates vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:15PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (-1.5, +155), Cardinals (+1.5, -156)
  • Moneyline: Pirates -108, Cardinals +106
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 52.0%
  • Cardinals: 48.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 52.0%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 48.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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