Pirates vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cardinals MLB game on Friday, August 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Jared Jones 2-5, 4.77 ERA
vs.
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Quinn Mathews 0-2, 6.43 ERA
Busch Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Pirates
    51.4%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Cardinals
    48.6%
    CaesarsCaesars

Pirates vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:15PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pirates (-1.5, +160), Cardinals (+1.5, -163)
  • Moneyline: Pirates -108, Cardinals +108
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+115/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pirates: 51.4%
  • Cardinals: 48.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 51.4%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 48.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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