Red Sox vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB game on Friday, August 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Patrick Sandoval 1-2, 4.54 ERA
0
1
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Cam Schlittler 11-6, 2.17 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Yankees
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 X 1 3 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Sogard pops out to shallow center field to George Lombard.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 2B5000002.0000.000
2 C. Rafaela CF4020002.5001.000
3 W. Abreu RF3020000.6672.000
4 W. Contreras 1B4000002.0000.000
5 A. Rutschman C4000002.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B2000020.0000.500
7 J. Jones DH1000010.0000.500
8 E. White LF2010000.5001.000
9 A. Monasterio SS2000000.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4111101.2501.250
2 B. Rice DH4020002.5001.250
3 C. Bellinger LF4000000.0000.000
4 S. Jones RF1000001.0000.000
5 T. Grisham CF2000011.0000.333
6 G. Lombard SS2000010.0000.333
7 J. Chisholm 2B3000002.0000.000
8 J. Caballero 3B3000000.0000.000
9 A. Wells C3000003.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (+1.5, -155), Yankees (-1.5, +150)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox +142, Yankees -141
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+127/-125)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 40.3%
  • Yankees: 59.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 40.3%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 59.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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